It's certain that recently discovered asteroid 2024 YR4 will swing close to Earth in 2032. The chances of an impact remain low — but with relatively limited observations so far, the odds are in flux.

YR4 has just above a 1% chance of crashing into Earth in 2032, which is why astronomers and space agencies are paying attention to it.

YR is considered to be larger than the Chelyabinsk asteroid that struck Russia in 2013. Its shock wave was strong enough to injure 1,500 people.

A newly discovered asteroid named 2024 YR4 now has a 2.2% chance of affecting Earth in 2032 after recent observations.

NASA’s Centre for Near-Earth Object Studies (CNEOS) has calculated a 2.3% chance—roughly a 1-in-43 probability—that asteroid 2024 YR4 could impact Earth in 2032. While the number may sound alarming, astronomers emphasise that further observations will likely refine the asteroid’s trajectory and reduce any potential risk.

No, or at least not because of the 2024 YR asteroid. First off, there is currently only about a one-in-43 chance that this rock hits Earth, and those odds will change (and probably go down) as scientists gather more data on the recently spotted asteroid. A nearly 98 percent chance it won’t hit us is pretty good.

Was 2020’s ‘Don’t Look Up’ accurate? Find out what NASA revealed about an asteroid that will approach Earth in 2032.

Days after it was confirmed that asteroid 2024 YR4 has a 1-in-83 chance of colliding with Earth, American space agency, Nasa has charted the course of its orbit and the object's trajectory in space. Nasa's Center of Near Earth Object Studies (CNEOS) is tracking the asteroid and has already prepared its projected orbit that brings it in extreme proximity to Earth.