While there's no guarantee the stock market will crash in 2025 under President Donald Trump, history suggests it's a practical lock that the major indexes will generate a healthy total return for investors over the next 20 years.

On an annualized basis, Biden’s Dow performance is slightly below the 50-year average, but higher than the average among 20th and 21st-century Democratic presidents. Among one-term presidents, the Dow’s performance under Biden is the worst since Jimmy Carter.