For a while now, people have been speculating that Barack and Michelle Obama could be headed toward a divorce. Here are all of the clearest signs.

“Happy birthday to the love of my life, @MichelleObama,” the former president wrote, shadily. “You fill every room with warmth, wisdom, humor, and grace—and you look good doing it. I’m so lucky to be able to take on life’s adventures with you. Love you!”